The world after Brexit

I think the real lesson ought to be to stop trusting your instinctive feelings about what can and cannot (or should and should not) happen, and start taking polls seriously. A corollary would be to  check if you’re living in a bubble and if so, to peek outside it a bit.

Of course, some times even the polls can be “read” in a way that makes you feel better. As a more concrete example, here is Nate Silver with a column just six months ago, (boldly!) titled “Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls”. Go ahead and read the comments at the bottom.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s